Adam Bate expects plenty of goals at Stadio Friuli in what is sure to be an emotional meeting between these two sides. There is also a 17/2 value bet for the gameWednesday sees the playing of the rearranged Serie A fixtures cancelled following the tragic death of Piermario Morosini earlier this month.
The 25-year-old collapsed on the pitch while playing for Serie B side Livorno, on-loan from his parent club Udinese.
Maria Carla Morosini, the disabled sister of Piermario, will be in attendance on Wednesday having been the focus of a fundraising initiative in the days that have followed, with Udinese legend Antonio Di Natale promising lifelong support.
In the wake of such tragedy, footballing issues must take a backseat and Udinese’s goalless at Chievo at the weekend certainly had a subdued feel to it.
But the game goes on and both these sides retain a chance of grabbing the third Champions League slot in Serie A this season, despite their poor recent form.
Udinese have won two of their last 12 as their home form has disintegrated. After winning 10 of their first 12 in front of their own fans, they’ve since won just one from the last five.
That will encourage Inter who are available at 7/4 (2.75) with 188Bet to win this one. The draw is available at 23/10 (3.3).
But the visitors have problems of their own. Despite losing just once in their last eight league games, the stats also reveal three wins out of 14.
Udinese at their best could punish Inter. The home side are 13/10 (2.3) to mark an emotional night with a win.
In the other markets, the stand-out statistic is the lack of clean sheets from either side.
After six matches without conceding a goal in the first seven league games of the season, Udinese have managed just seven from the next 26.
Inter, for their part, have just three clean sheets in 15 games and, with Diego Milito back on form with 16 goals since the turn of the year, goals are likely at both ends.
11 of Udinese’s 17 games since January have featured three or more goals and yet over 2.5 goals is available at an industry-best price of 28/29 (1.97) with 188Bet. That’s the pick of the bets here.
For the value bet, consider that Udinese winning 2-1 is the most common score in their Serie A home games this season, occurring 25% of the time, and is available at 17/2 (9.5) with 188Bet. A home win on a special night.
|Over 2.5 goals at 28/29 (1.97) with 188Bet
||Udinese to win 2-1 at 17/2 (9.5) with 188Bet
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on Twitter